Udomchoke $1.77 and Sugita $1.50 to Make Burnie Final

Danai Udomchoke comes up against the resurgent Jimmy Wang in the first semi-final today. Although I have been impressed with Wang's progress he will be facing a player that will not commit a lot of unforced errors in Udomchoke, unlike his previous matches.

Yuichi Sugita was my pre-tournament tip for the title, and I will continue to follow him today against the big serving Australian Groth.


D Udomchoke $1.77 (-130) v Danny Wang at 5Dimes
Yuichi Sugita $1.50 (-200) vs S Groth at 5Dimes

 Danai Udomchoke Winning Asian Games Title

Online Streaming Tennis Live from Burnie Now

Probably should have mentioned earlier that the Burnie International tournament organizers are streaming all centre court matches live for us this week.

http://www.burnieinternational.com.au/index.php/tournament/live-streaming

Enjoy. The Lu v Udomchoke match is on now.

Today's Matches Live




Full Replay of Centre Court Matches from Yesterday

Sugita $1.35 and Mitchell $1.77 at Burnie Challenger

Quarter finals day at the Burnie International and we have four matches as potential betting chances!

To start the day we see Thailand's Udomchoke up against #1 seed Lu. Lu would seem like the obvious choice but his odds of $1.50 (-200) make the bet bad value. On the flipside Udomchoke is capable of beating Lu on his day, and is in fine form this campaign. You might do better than the $2.70 (+170) currently on offer if you wait until closer to match time.

Then we see young Ben Mitchell opening as favorite for the first time this tourney against the little known Jimmy Wang, who has played a grand total of 10 matches over the last 4 years (following injury in late 2007). That said Wang has comeback strongly this campaign, taking a set from Sugita in Chennai in his first match in over 12 months. He did drop a set to love in the first round here but came out and demolished Look 6-1 6-2 yesterday. Almost seems to me this is a bigger tossup then his previous two rounds as underdog, yet the bookies send Mitchell out as favourite today. I'm well ahead on him for this tourney so will keep following, but without conviction.

Then we have the clash of the Aussies, Groth v Millman. Millman is the better player, but like Lu, the odds are too short to take him here.

The last quarter should be the match of the day, with Chinese journeyman Ti Chen sure to make Yuichi Sugita work hard to progress. But progress he will.

D Udomchoke $2.70 (+170) v H-Y Lu at Bovada
Benjamin Mitchell $1.77 (-130) vs Jimmy Wang at 5Dimes
Yuichi Sugita $1.35 (-290) vs Ti Chen at 5Dimes

I am also parlaying Mitchell/Sugita for $2.07 (+107) at 5Dimes

Danai Udomchoke

Ben Mitchell $1.95 v Tsung-Hua Yang at Burnie

The bookies have Ben Mitchell priced as the underdog again today against Tsung-Hua Yang.

And I think he will win again. In fact on paper this looks like an even better bet than yesterday.

Yesterday Mitchell was solid on serve, displayed a strong serve volley game and gave Duckworth all sorts of problems holding his. He did choke in a pretty big way when it came to serving out the match at 5-2 in the third (2 or 3 double faults end on end) But he came back strong and confident to close it out in the next service game.

Tsung-Hua Yang has had a great run in Challengers, but almost always on Chinese soil, and is not nearing ATP level as Mitchell is imho.


 Benjamin Mitchell $1.95 (-105)  vs Tsung-Hua Yang at 5Dimes

Yuichi Sugita $1.38 v John-Patrick Smith Burnie Challenger Today

Japanese Tennis is on the rise and the change in their ATP rankings this week reflects that.

And with Japan's first ever World Group Davis Cup against Croatia looming in a week or so, I believe the pride in country and desperation to impress the team coach will carry over again, particularly for Yuichi Sugita.

Sugita must have been kicking himself after giving away a commanding lead in his semi-final against Ginepri, missing the chance to meet his countryman Soeda, and main rival for a starting Davis Cup spot, in the final. And even more so when Soeda took out the Honolulu Title the next day.

The sting of that result, and this being his last chance to show the team selectors he is a winner deserving of consideration, will drive Sugita to take this one over the part time Australian.

Yuichi Sugita $1.38 (-260)  vs John-Patrick Smith at 5Dimes

Also parlaying with Mitchell for odds of $3.12 (+212)

Ben Mitchell $2.25 v James Duckworth in Burnie Challenger

Australian James Duckworth made headlines during January, particularly in his home country, for stepping up to ATP level to beat Mahut in Brisbane and then Zopp in Melbourne to make the 2nd Round of the Australian Open.

The Duck drops back to his more familiar Challenger Tour stomping ground this week but I think the bookies are putting a little too much import on those ATP level matches.

Duckworth likes clay, or a slow court generally, and his historic performances on the Burnie track are much less than stellar.

By contrast this is Mitchell's ideal surface and reports suggest he is fired up to remind Duckworth he is not the only young Aussie on the cusp of making the jump to ATP level. (having recently beaten Kukushkin and Mayer during qualifying for the Sydney ATP event)



Benjamin Mitchell $2.25 (+125) vs James Duckworth at 5Dimes

19yo Ben Mitchell Is A Strapping Lad