Murray and Berdych to win in Rome

Andy Murray -290* vs Richard Gasquet
Tomas Berdych -175* vs Nicolas Almagro

Parlay for +111 1 unit

Ekaterina Makarova -105 vs Francesca Schiavone in Rome WTA

Ekaterina Makarova* -105 vs Francesca Schiavone  1unit

For the mens event in Rome;

5/14/2012 7:45 AM ATP Tennis 130 David Nalbandian* -160 vs Albert Ramos
5/14/2012 8:45 AM ATP Tennis 137 Fabio Fognini* -150 vs Marcos Baghdatis

parlay for +170 1 unit


Rome ATP and Bordeaux Challenger

5/14/2012 9:45 AM ATP Tennis 110 Carlos Berlocq* -230 vs Blaz Kavcic
5/14/2012 7:00 AM Challenger Tennis 501 Roberto Bautista-Agut* -435 vs Stephane Robert

Parlay for -131

Ekaterina Makarova

F.Lopez* -3 -120 vs J.Melzer in Madrid

F.Lopez Games Won* -3 -120  vs J.Melzer Games Won 1 unit

Zopp and Burquier in Tunis

1. 5/1/2012 5:30 AM Challenger Tennis 603 Jurgen Zopp* -140  vs Adrian Menendez-Maceiras
2. 5/1/2012 7:00 AM Challenger Tennis 611 Gregoire Burquier* -130  vs Matteo Viola

Parlayed for +203 1u

Tobias Kamke +285 vs Marcos Baghdatis in Munich ATP

Tobias Kamke* +285  vs Marcos Baghdatis .5u (Betfair)

O.Rochus +3½ -102 vs B.Tomic in Munich

O.Rochus Games Won* +3½ -102 vs B.Tomic Games Won 1u

In Estoril ATP and  Ostrava Challenger

1. 4/30/2012 8:55 AM ATP Tennis 302 Robin Haase* -255  vs Simone Bolelli
2. 4/30/2012 9:15 AM Challenger Tennis 704 Gerard Granollers-Pujols* -200  vs Franco Skugor

Parlayed for +109

Fabio Fognini +145 vs Andreas Seppi in Bucharest

Fabio Fognini* +145  vs Andreas Seppi .75u

also;

4/27/2012 3:30 AM Challenger Tennis 503 Yen-Hsun Lu* -170 vs Marco Chiudinelli
4/27/2012 6:00 AM Challenger Tennis 601 Adrian Mannarino* -150 vs Maxime Authom

parlayed for +165 1u

Milos Raonic +313 vs Andy Murray at Barcelona

Milos Raonic* +313  vs Andy Murray .5u

Raonic pulls out his best every time against the top players. And Murray is an unreliable head case.

Definitely worth a half unit speculator on this surface after his straight sets victory over clay court specialist Almagro yesterday.

Milos Raonic

Kei Nishikori -120 vs Albert Ramos at Barcelona

Kei Nishikori* -120  vs Albert Ramos 1.5u

Also parlay Nishikori with Lopez for +182 .5u

Fabio Fognini +100 vs Marcos Baghdatis in Bucharest

Fabio Fognini +100* vs Marcos Baghdatis 1u

Jimmy Wang +175 vs Go Soeda at Kaohsiung Challenger

Jimmy Wang +175* vs Go Soeda 1u

Danai Udomchoke vs Yen-Hsun Lu at Kaohsiung

Danai Udomchoke* +157  vs Yen-Hsun Lu .75u

Parlay for Kaohsiung Challenger

Kaohsiung Challenger

4/24/2012 0:00 AM Challenger Tennis 604 Go Soeda* -335 vs Konstantin Kravchuk
4/24/2012 1:15 AM Challenger Tennis 614 Yuichi Sugita* -300 vs Daniel King-Turner
4/24/2012 2:45 AM Challenger Tennis 618 Rik De Voest* -900 vs Hsin-Han Lee

Parlayed for -108 1u

Mello and Duckworth to win in Sao Paulo

 Sao Paulo Challenger 1st Round

Ricardo Mello -260* vs Gastao Elias 
James Duckworth -300* vs Joao Pedro Sorgi

Parlayed for -118 at 5 Dimes 

Parlay Of The Day +191

4/22/12 10:30am Challenger Tennis 302 Ivo Minar* -260  vs Ricardo Hocevar
4/22/2012 7:45 AM Qualifying Tennis 611 David Goffin* -230  vs Arnau Brugues-Davi
4/22/2012 8:00 AM Props Tennis 118 Not R.Nadal In 2 Sets* -215  vs R.Nadal Wins 2-0

Parlayed for +191 .5u

(times are US ET)

Roberto Bautista-Agut +120 v Rui Machado in Rome Final

Roberto Bautista-Agut* +120  vs Rui Machado 1 unit


Also like Minar to take the Santos final, Ivo Minar* -200  vs Ricardo Hocevar, but the juice is a little too heavy for me this time. Would be useful to throw in a parlay.

Gilles Simon +155 vs Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at Monte Carlo

Monte Carlo ATP
Gilles Simon +155* vs Jo-Wilfried Tsonga .5u

Rome Challenger

Roberto Bautista-Agut -105* vs Jesse Huta Galung 1u
Bautista-Agut -105* v Huta Galung/Junqueira -130* vs Alund parlay for +145 .5u

Giles Simon

Agustin Velotti -115* vs Diego Junqueira at Santos Challenger

19yo Augustin Veloti has been enjoying a break out year, already rising more than 100 ATP ranking spots to close in on the top 200.

In contrast, fellow Argentinian, 31yo Diego Junqueira has been comprehensively beaten in the first round of his previous 3 events, including retiring with reported muscle strain when down 6-1 3-0 to Phau at Houston last week.

Veloti disposed of Junquiera 6-3 6-3 as the dog 6 weeks in Santiago, and  I think that dog will bark again today.

Agustin Velotti -115* vs Diego Junqueira 1 unit

Agustin Velotti

Tomas Berdych -235* vs Marin Cilic/Fabio Fognini -150* vs Robin Haase Parlayed

Monte Carlo ATP Wednesday

 Fabio Fognini -150* vs Robin Haase
Tomas Berdych -235* vs Marin Cilic

Parlay for +138 

Horacio Zeballos +125 vs Sam Querrey at Sarasota Challenger

Horacio Zeballos +125* vs Sam Querrey 1 unit


Parlay G. Soeda/B. Phau +161 .5 units

Albert Ramos +120 vs Kei Nishikori in Monte Carlo

Ramos-Vinolas is fresh from the final in Casablanca, and whilst he is arriving late for this tourney, his strong recent form on the surface, and preference for clay courts, in contrast to Nishikori, should see him through to the second round here.

Albert Ramos-Vinolas

M.Raonic Games Won -4 -120 vs A.Montanes in Monte Carlo ATP

M.Raonic Games Won -4 -120* vs A.Montanes .75 units

Evgeny Donskoy -165 vs Rui Machado at Rome Challenger

Evgeny Donskoy -165* vs Rui Machado 1 unit

Fabio Fognini +100 vs Michael Llodra at Monte Carlo

Although Llodra defeated Fognini here in the 1st round 2010, the vastly more experienced clay courter should gain revenge this year.

Fognini comes from playing in two clay events in the lead up to this, whilst Llodra will step on the dirt for the first time in 2012.

I expect this line to drop so would get in early.

Fabio Fognini* +100  vs Michael Llodra at 5 Dimes

Fabio Fognini

Flavio Cipolla -108* vs Benoit Paire

Flavio Cipolla -108* vs Benoit Paire 1 unit

Flavio Cipolla

L.Ouahab/S.Gutierrez-Ferrol Games Won Over 21½ -118

Two underdog first round winners come together at Casablanca today. With a combined ATP ranking of around 1300 Lamine Ouahab and Sergio Gutierrez-Ferrol will both be eyeing off a quarter final berth hungrily.

Neither player dropped a service game yesterday and this could well go to tiebreakers and a third set so I see the Over 21.5 total games line as very attractive here.

L.Ouahab Games Won/S.Gutierrez-Ferrol Games Won Over 21½ -118*

Sergio Gutierrez-Ferrol

Update

Adding J.Monaco Games Won -6½ -110 vs T.Ito Games Won  

 

Garcia-Lopez -108 over Mathieu in Casablanca

Guillermo Garcia-Lopez -108* v Paul-Henri Mathieu 1 Unit

Guillermo Garcia-Lopez

Soeda and Bautista-Agut 2 Unit Specials Today

Japanese compatriots and Davis Cup team mates Go Soeda and Tatsuma Ito face off in the 1st round of the Houston ATP event today.

These guys know each others game almost as well as their own, and Soeda clearly has the wood on Ito with a 5-1 head 2 head record, winning each time in straight sets, and only failing to reach 6 just once in the 12 sets they have played.

Neither player is very experienced on clay, so the straight sets win Soeda enjoyed over Ginepri in the qualifiers should also give Soeda the edge with court knowledge.

I will be playing 2-3 units on this one when the odds come out at 5 Dimes.

Go Soeda

Spanish up n comer Roberto Bautista-Agut will be a nice priced underdog to Italian Potito Starace in the first round at Casablanca. An underdog I plan to jump on for 1.5 units.

Starace is a confidence player who has lacked it all year. Dropping back from ATP regular to Challenger tour duties, his record sat at just 2-8 for the last 10 matches before his home Challenger event last week where he made the final.

You might think that would be the confidence boost he needed, but the manner in which he was annihilated in the final just 2 days ago, 6-2 6-0, as the hot priced favorite will have a negative effect on this fragile fellow for sure.

Like Soeda, Bautista-Agut is both on a strong run of form and has enjoyed the benefit of 2 qualifying matches at the venue. Against Potito flying in late for the clash.

Roberto Bautista-Agut

Update

Go Soeda -200* vs Tatsuma Ito  risk 2 units

Roberto Bautista-Agut +115* vs Potito Starace risk 1.5 units

and parlaying both for +223 risk .5 unit

All bets at 5 Dimes.

I bet these matches this way as it leaves me with these possible results;

Both lose  -4 units
One wins -1 unit
Both win +3.75 units

I calculate this out as 10% chance of losing 4U + 60% chance of losing 1U / 30% chance of winning 3.75U = 1/1.125, or 12.5% better than what I see as true odds. (approx)

Also taking Lamine Ouahab +313* vs Robin Haase .25u

Go Soeda* +145 vs Tommy Haas Houston Qualifying

Go Soeda* +145  vs Tommy Haas

Laurynas Grigelis +100 over Gianluca Naso in St.Brieuc, France

Laurynas Grigelis +100 ($2.00) vs Gianluca Naso

Laurynas Grigelis

Barranquilla and Le Gosier Challenger Picks Today

Three good value favorites in round 1 Challenger Tour matches today.

Facundo Bagnis -165* vs Joao Souza 
Yuichi Sugita -195* vs Arnau Brugues-Davi
Guido Pella -180* vs Victor Estrella

Also playing small:

Parlay Sugita/Bagnis for +145 ($2.45)

Parlay Sugita/Pella for +137 ($2.37)

Parlay Sugita/Bagnis/Pella for +278 ($3.78)

Prices from 5 Dimes

Facundo Bagnis Displaying His Trademark
Right Hand Action During Play

Kudryavtsev and Basic +115 in Morocco Challenger

What should be an easy parlay at better than even money on the dirt in Morocco.

1. 3/14/2012 7:45 AM Challenger Tennis 753 Alexander Kudryavtsev* -260  vs Radu Albot
2. 3/14/2012 11:30 AM Challenger Tennis 755 Mirza Basic* -180  vs Dusan Lajovic

Risking $100.00 To Win $115.00

  Odds from 5 Dimes

Indian Wells Qualifying - Yani $3.70 to Bring Matosevic Back To Earth

Matosevic is an Aussie journeyman who had a breakout tournament, and made his first ATP final on Sunday. After upsetting Alex Bogomolov Jr. he had a gift run in that tourney, and most pundits were surprised with just how far he did go. I doubt he has ever started an ATP match at a price this short before, and has rarely started as a fave in an ATP match before last week.

Yani is on about the same level really. Challenger standard… but he has beaten better players than Mato recently and I think for +270 you are getting good odds on a toss of a coin match where there is a decent chance Matosevic will have a come down loss.

 Michael Yani $3.70 (+270) vs Marinko Matosevic at 5 Dimes

Matosevic in action at Delray Beach last week.

Young Gun Parlay: Raonic + Nishikori

Kei Nishikori came through his debut match in Buenos Aires against Florian Mayer with a solid 3 set win as the big under dog. Today against Henescu he comes in as a big favorite, and should take care of the Romanian journeyman in quick order today.

In Memphis, last week's San Jose champion, Milos Raonic, will take on Ernest Gulbis who although is capable on his day, has been in awful form since the second half of last year. His only wins since October have come against lowly ranked Egypt in Davis Cup 2 weeks ago.

Kei Nishikori -225 vs Victor Hanescu
Milos Raonic -440 vs Ernests Gulbis 

Parlayed for $1.73 (-130) at 5 Dimes

Good luck!

Raonic Wins Back to Back San Jose Titles

Evening Tennis Parlay for $4.34

After the morning parlay wins I may be getting a touch over confident with this one.

4 leg chalky parlay for the evening matches;

1. David Nalbandian $1.20 (-495)  vs Filippo Volandri
2. Milos Raonic $1.54 (-185)  vs Kevin Anderson
3. Julien Benneteau $1.43 (-235)  vs Steve Darcis
4. Andy Roddick $1.65 (-155)  vs Denis Istomin

To pay $4.34 at 5Dimes

 Milos Raonic - Rising star

Del Potro with Almagro $1.86

Del Potro $1.26 will be too classy for Troiki today, who has not been in his best form anyway. But at that price we need a parlay partner for our 'sure thing'.

For me, Almagro looks the next best good thing today at something near value odds.

Del Potro $1.26 (-384) over Troiki
Almagro $1.48 (-208) over Berlocq

Parlayed for odds of $1.86 (-116) at 5Dimes

Benjamin Mitchell $1.42 vs Joshua Milton at Coloundra Challenger

Big Ben Mitchell playing a lot closer to home this week should improve on his impressive Burnie tournament by advancing to the 2nd round past Josh Milton today.

Benjamin Mitchell $1.42 (-240)  vs Joshua Milton at 5Dimes

 Joshua Milton of Great Britain

Udomchoke $1.77 and Sugita $1.50 to Make Burnie Final

Danai Udomchoke comes up against the resurgent Jimmy Wang in the first semi-final today. Although I have been impressed with Wang's progress he will be facing a player that will not commit a lot of unforced errors in Udomchoke, unlike his previous matches.

Yuichi Sugita was my pre-tournament tip for the title, and I will continue to follow him today against the big serving Australian Groth.


D Udomchoke $1.77 (-130) v Danny Wang at 5Dimes
Yuichi Sugita $1.50 (-200) vs S Groth at 5Dimes

 Danai Udomchoke Winning Asian Games Title

Online Streaming Tennis Live from Burnie Now

Probably should have mentioned earlier that the Burnie International tournament organizers are streaming all centre court matches live for us this week.

http://www.burnieinternational.com.au/index.php/tournament/live-streaming

Enjoy. The Lu v Udomchoke match is on now.

Today's Matches Live




Full Replay of Centre Court Matches from Yesterday

Sugita $1.35 and Mitchell $1.77 at Burnie Challenger

Quarter finals day at the Burnie International and we have four matches as potential betting chances!

To start the day we see Thailand's Udomchoke up against #1 seed Lu. Lu would seem like the obvious choice but his odds of $1.50 (-200) make the bet bad value. On the flipside Udomchoke is capable of beating Lu on his day, and is in fine form this campaign. You might do better than the $2.70 (+170) currently on offer if you wait until closer to match time.

Then we see young Ben Mitchell opening as favorite for the first time this tourney against the little known Jimmy Wang, who has played a grand total of 10 matches over the last 4 years (following injury in late 2007). That said Wang has comeback strongly this campaign, taking a set from Sugita in Chennai in his first match in over 12 months. He did drop a set to love in the first round here but came out and demolished Look 6-1 6-2 yesterday. Almost seems to me this is a bigger tossup then his previous two rounds as underdog, yet the bookies send Mitchell out as favourite today. I'm well ahead on him for this tourney so will keep following, but without conviction.

Then we have the clash of the Aussies, Groth v Millman. Millman is the better player, but like Lu, the odds are too short to take him here.

The last quarter should be the match of the day, with Chinese journeyman Ti Chen sure to make Yuichi Sugita work hard to progress. But progress he will.

D Udomchoke $2.70 (+170) v H-Y Lu at Bovada
Benjamin Mitchell $1.77 (-130) vs Jimmy Wang at 5Dimes
Yuichi Sugita $1.35 (-290) vs Ti Chen at 5Dimes

I am also parlaying Mitchell/Sugita for $2.07 (+107) at 5Dimes

Danai Udomchoke

Ben Mitchell $1.95 v Tsung-Hua Yang at Burnie

The bookies have Ben Mitchell priced as the underdog again today against Tsung-Hua Yang.

And I think he will win again. In fact on paper this looks like an even better bet than yesterday.

Yesterday Mitchell was solid on serve, displayed a strong serve volley game and gave Duckworth all sorts of problems holding his. He did choke in a pretty big way when it came to serving out the match at 5-2 in the third (2 or 3 double faults end on end) But he came back strong and confident to close it out in the next service game.

Tsung-Hua Yang has had a great run in Challengers, but almost always on Chinese soil, and is not nearing ATP level as Mitchell is imho.


 Benjamin Mitchell $1.95 (-105)  vs Tsung-Hua Yang at 5Dimes

Yuichi Sugita $1.38 v John-Patrick Smith Burnie Challenger Today

Japanese Tennis is on the rise and the change in their ATP rankings this week reflects that.

And with Japan's first ever World Group Davis Cup against Croatia looming in a week or so, I believe the pride in country and desperation to impress the team coach will carry over again, particularly for Yuichi Sugita.

Sugita must have been kicking himself after giving away a commanding lead in his semi-final against Ginepri, missing the chance to meet his countryman Soeda, and main rival for a starting Davis Cup spot, in the final. And even more so when Soeda took out the Honolulu Title the next day.

The sting of that result, and this being his last chance to show the team selectors he is a winner deserving of consideration, will drive Sugita to take this one over the part time Australian.

Yuichi Sugita $1.38 (-260)  vs John-Patrick Smith at 5Dimes

Also parlaying with Mitchell for odds of $3.12 (+212)

Ben Mitchell $2.25 v James Duckworth in Burnie Challenger

Australian James Duckworth made headlines during January, particularly in his home country, for stepping up to ATP level to beat Mahut in Brisbane and then Zopp in Melbourne to make the 2nd Round of the Australian Open.

The Duck drops back to his more familiar Challenger Tour stomping ground this week but I think the bookies are putting a little too much import on those ATP level matches.

Duckworth likes clay, or a slow court generally, and his historic performances on the Burnie track are much less than stellar.

By contrast this is Mitchell's ideal surface and reports suggest he is fired up to remind Duckworth he is not the only young Aussie on the cusp of making the jump to ATP level. (having recently beaten Kukushkin and Mayer during qualifying for the Sydney ATP event)



Benjamin Mitchell $2.25 (+125) vs James Duckworth at 5Dimes

19yo Ben Mitchell Is A Strapping Lad

New Top 100 Rankings after Australian Open. Tomic, Nishikori on the rise.

Two of the three current hot young guns on the tour, Bernard Tomic and Kei Nishikori made a nice jump in their rankings this week to 34th and 20th in the world respectively. Whilst the third, Milos Raonic, lost in the third round to Leyton Hewitt, failing to match his R16 performance last year, so drops 3 spots to 28th.

It has been a big week for Japanese tennis. With Nishikori's quarter final appearance being the furthest a Japanese player has progressed in a Grand Slam event for over 50 years, and now being the first to make the top 20 in that long as well. Along with the rising crop of Japanese players dominating the Honolulu Challenger Tour event with 3 of the 4 semi final positions and tournament win for Soeda. Hopes must be very high in the land of the rising sun for their Davis Cup team playing next week.

Juan Martin Del Potro moves into the top 10 for the first time since he returned from injury at the expense of Nicolas Almagro.

Other noteable big movers are Ivo Karlovic moving up 11 places into the top 50 at 46th, Mikhail Kukushkin up 28 spots to 64th, Taipei's Yen-Hsun Lu up 14 places to 65th and Lukas Lacko moving into the top 100 with a 22 position rise to 97th, also passing 100th ranked Karol Beck to become Slovakia's top ranked male tennis player.


Rank, Name & Nationality     Points     Week Change
1 Djokovic, Novak (SRB)     13,630    0
2 Nadal, Rafael (ESP)     10,435    0
3 Federer, Roger (SUI)     8,010    0
4 Murray, Andy (GBR)     6,900    0
5 Ferrer, David (ESP)     4,565    0
6 Tsonga, Jo-Wilfried (FRA)     4,425    0
7 Berdych, Tomas (CZE)     3,700    0
8 Fish, Mardy (USA)     2,965    0
9 Tipsarevic, Janko (SRB)     2,700    0
10 Del Potro, Juan Martin (ARG)     2,630    1
11 Almagro, Nicolas (ESP)     2,380    -1
12 Simon, Gilles (FRA)     2,005    2
13 Monfils, Gael (FRA)     1,970    2
14 Soderling, Robin (SWE)     1,940    -2
15 Lopez, Feliciano (ESP)     1,890    4
16 Gasquet, Richard (FRA)     1,855    2
17 Isner, John (USA)     1,800    0
18 Dolgopolov, Alexandr (UKR)     1,760    -5
19 Roddick, Andy (USA)     1,745    -3
20 Nishikori, Kei (JPN)     1,680    6
21 Mayer, Florian (GER)     1,585    0
22 Troicki, Viktor (SRB)     1,550    1
23 Cilic, Marin (CRO)     1,485    -3
24 Verdasco, Fernando (ESP)     1,380    0
25 Chela, Juan Ignacio (ARG)     1,350    4
26 Granollers, Marcel (ESP)     1,350    2
27 Wawrinka, Stanislas (SUI)     1,345    -5
28 Raonic, Milos (CAN)     1,345    -3
29 Monaco, Juan (ARG)     1,300    -2
30 Anderson, Kevin (RSA)     1,270    2
31 Stepanek, Radek (CZE)     1,195    0
32 Ljubicic, Ivan (CRO)     1,190    -2
33 Kohlschreiber, Philipp (GER)     1,140    8
34 Tomic, Bernard (AUS)     1,138    4
35 Bogomolov Jr., Alex (RUS)     1,135    -1
36 Benneteau, Julien (FRA)     1,120    3
37 Bellucci, Thomaz (BRA)     1,060    0
38 Dodig, Ivan (CRO)     1,030    -2
39 Youzhny, Mikhail (RUS)     1,025    -4
40 Young, Donald (USA)     1,014    2
41 Melzer, Jurgen (AUT)     1,000    -8
42 Seppi, Andreas (ITA)     980    -2
43 Llodra, Michael (FRA)     960    3
44 Andujar, Pablo (ESP)     955    1
45 Baghdatis, Marcos (CYP)     940    -1
46 Karlovic, Ivo (CRO)     922    11
47 Ferrero, Juan Carlos (ESP)     920    1
48 Fognini, Fabio (ITA)     915    -1
49 Tursunov, Dmitry (RUS)     913    -6
50 Nieminen, Jarkko (FIN)     908    -1
51 Rochus, Olivier (BEL)     899    3
52 Davydenko, Nikolay (RUS)     875    0
53 Montanes, Albert (ESP)     860    -3
54 Giraldo, Santiago (COL)     845    2
55 Berlocq, Carlos (ARG)     836    6
56 Petzschner, Philipp (GER)     815    7
57 Istomin, Denis (UZB)     802    3
58 Starace, Potito (ITA)     800    4
59 Blake, James (USA)     799    0
60 Muller, Gilles (LUX)     793    -5
61 Kubot, Lukasz (POL)     787    -3
62 Haase, Robin (NED)     781    -9
63 Falla, Alejandro (COL)     776    8
64 Kukushkin, Mikhail (KAZ)     768    28
65 Lu, Yen-Hsun (TPE)     741    14
66 Ramos, Albert (ESP)     724    1
67 Stakhovsky, Sergiy (UKR)     710    -2
68 Robredo, Tommy (ESP)     705    -17
69 Machado, Rui (POR)     698    1
70 Volandri, Filippo (ITA)     696    2
71 Gulbis, Ernests (LAT)     695    2
72 Stebe, Cedrik-Marcel (GER)     688    11
73 Sela, Dudi (ISR)     685    2
74 Malisse, Xavier (BEL)     680    -10
75 Cipolla, Flavio (ITA)     680    1
76 Sweeting, Ryan (USA)     676    -8
77 Garcia-Lopez, Guillermo (ESP)     675    -11
78 Mahut, Nicolas (FRA)     673    3
79 Mayer, Leonardo (ARG)     659    1
80 Kunitsyn, Igor (RUS)     657    -6
81 Rosol, Lukas (CZE)     656    -12
82 Chardy, Jeremy (FRA)     652    0
83 Dimitrov, Grigor (BUL)     641    -5
84 Darcis, Steve (BEL)     636    1
85 Ebden, Matthew (AUS)     635    9
86 Nalbandian, David (ARG)     630    1
87 Beck, Andreas (GER)     628    6
88 Soeda, Go (JPN)     625    11
89 Querrey, Sam (USA)     624    6
90 Devvarman, Somdev (IND)     614    -4
91 Kamke, Tobias (GER)     613    7
92 Riba, Pere (ESP)     612    -4
93 Bachinger, Matthias (GER)     602    -4
94 Paire, Benoit (FRA)     601    -10
95 Hanescu, Victor (ROU)     600    -5
96 Harrison, Ryan (USA)     596    -19
97 Lacko, Lukas (SVK)     596    22
98 Roger-Vasselin, Edouard (FRA)     592    3
99 Gil, Frederico (POR)     582    8
100 Beck, Karol (SVK)     576    0

Murray will be no match for Djokovic in Aus Open semi final today

Taking Djokovic to advance $1.40 (-250)

3 Picks for the Heilbronn Challenger

I think there are three good chances at good odds at the Heilbronn Challenger event for Thursday.

Martin Kliezen was dominant in his first round victory over the heavily favored Giles Muller and I think he will salute again today as the underdog against the hot and cold Mischa Zverev.

Canadian Frank Dancevic is great value at $2.35 (+135) against the older and declining Michael Berrer who took 3 sets to beat Gabashvili yesterday.

At nine years his junior and 220 ranking positions higher, Stebe should triumph against Benjamin Becker in the home town battle.

I'm taking;


Martin Kliezen $2.30 (+130) vs Mischa Zverev
Frank Dancevic $2.35 (+135) vs Michael Berrer
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe $1.83 (-120) vs Benjamin Becker

Martin Kliezen

Tatsuma Ito and Yuichi Sugita in Honolulu Challenger Today

Tatsuma Ito comes up against American Kevin Kim. Ito was in good form in Australia where he went 5-2 and made the second round in Melbourne. Kim's two qualifying matches here are his first for this season. A well prepared Ito should be too much for Kim today.

Ito's countryman Yuichi Sugita has made a similar good start to 2012 with a strong showing in Chennai, beating Rochus and Lu before losing to Almagro in 3R. Indian up an comer Yuki Bhambri aslo did well in Chennai, winning against Beck before being losing in straights to Tipsarevic. Bhambri is still a solid Challenger series player but Sugita has stepped up to ATP level now and should make short work of this encounter.

I am parlaying the two Japanese today.

Tatsuma Ito $1.36 (-280)  vs Kevin Kim
Yuichi Sugita $1.20 (-505)  vs Yuki Bhambri

Parlay for $1.63 (-159)

Yuichi Sugita with East Asian Games Gold Medal

Djokovic v Ferrer QF 2012 Australian Open

Ferrer has enjoyed the 'easiest' draw amongst the remaining mens players. And although being taken to 5 sets by Ryan Sweeting he was able to dominate in closing it out, as he did in straight sets against Machado, Chela and Gasquet.

Novak Djokovic only lost a total of 10 games in his first three matches before dropping a set to Leyton Hewitt in the round of 16.

Djokovic probably took the world 186 a little more lightly than he would normally treat a Grand Slam R16 match but there will be little chance of him coming into this quarter final anything less than 100% ready to win.

The Joker in straight sets.

N.Djokovic Wins 3-0 $1.78 (-128)

Novak Djokovic

Andy Murray v Kei Nishikori Aus Open QF 2012

The diminutive Japanese that never says die, Kei Nishikori, has already done the land of the rising sun proud by making it further in a Grand Slam than any countryman before him. But the Scottish top 4 Andy Murray has looked in winning form, and more importantly, state of mind, only losing 17 games total in the three matches since his shaky first round 4 set win over plucky American Ryan Harrison.

Andy Murray to win it in straight sets today.


A.Murray Wins 3-0 $1.68 (-148)

Kei Nishikori

2012 Australian Open Womens Quarter Finals

Petra Kvitova should dispatch Sara Errani in straight sets today, and go on to win the tournament, but the $1.11 (-895) price on offer is not worth the risk of injury, illness or just a bad day from Kvitova. The games line of 18½ should be enough to take the under, with Petra capable of taking at least one set to 1 or 2 games.

In the second match today giant killer Ekaterina Makarova, who saw off tournament favorite Serena Williams in the round of 16, is sent out at $4.00 (+300) against the screamer and fellow countrywoman, Maria Sharapova.

Sharapova was far from convincing in beating Lisicki in 3 sets late last night, whilst Makarova has had an extra days rest since upsetting Williams on Monday night (local time). On top of that Makarova thrives as the underdog.



Sara Errani/Petra Kvitova Games Won Under 18½ $1.77 (-130)

Ekaterina Makarova $4.10 ( +310)  vs Maria Sharapova

Nadal v Federer Australian Open Semi Final 2012

Nadal has the wood over Federer in terms of their head to head battle in Grand Slam events, with their 2011 meeting here in Australia probably still stinging Roger. But Federer has been in scintillating form and his body is holding up to boot.

Taking Federer @ $1.69 (-145)  and total games played Over 39½ @ $1.85 (-118)